US real GDP growth in 2029?
Price history — 2.1% to 2.5%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
11¢
11¢
8¢
7¢
7¢
7¢
7¢
7¢
7¢
7¢
7¢
7¢
5¢
3¢
Kalshi • Volume: 5.3K contracts • Updated 54m agoCloses: 2030-02-28
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · 2.1% to 2.5%
at 11¢
Price gap
Kalshi11¢
→OU's fair31¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 9.1×
Confidence
Moderate
The IMF World Economic Outlook and CBO projections suggest long-term US growth will stabilize near two percent while recent 2026 data shows a slightly higher current trend.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.