Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje: Round of Finish
Price history — Fight ends before round 5
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
69¢
64¢
59¢
26¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.6K contracts • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-29 (20d)
Kalshi · Sports
OU's Pick
YES · Fight ends before round 5
at 64¢
Price gap
Kalshi64¢
→OU's fair82¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Both Topuria and Gaethje are high-volume finishers with aggressive styles that rarely result in five-round decisions in high-stakes lightweight bouts.
Wide edge+18¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.