Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 10?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-10 (1d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES at 6¢ · pays 18×
Price gap
Polymarket6¢
→OU's fair10¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 18×
Confidence
Moderate
The MET Norway forecast for June 10 predicts a peak of 12°C which is significantly lower than the target threshold.
Closes in1d 10h
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.