Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES1¢ (1%)
NO99¢ (99%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.1K • Updated 2h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 1¢ · pays 87×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair5¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 87×
Confidence
Moderate
The probability of a margin of victory falling within a specific ten basis point range in a national election is statistically very low despite the reported dead heat.
Off market consensus
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