1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES3¢ (3%)
NO97¢ (97%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $106.4K • Updated 19m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 97¢ · pays 1.0×
Price gap
Polymarket97¢
→OU's fair97¢
Confidence
Low
A one megaton meteor strike is a rare decadal event and no such impact has been recorded by NASA JPL through May 2026.
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