OVER / UNDER
Elections

Elections

KXPRESNOMD-28◆ FAIRLY PRICEDKL113.3M

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Gavin Newsom 23¢Alexandria Oca 11¢Kamala Harris 9¢+7
KXPRESNOMR-28◆ FAIRLY PRICEDKL44.2M

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance 33¢Marco Rubio 28¢Tucker Carlson 6¢+7
KXPRESPERSON-28◆ FAIRLY PRICEDKL38.8M

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

Marco Rubio 18¢J.D. Vance 16¢Gavin Newsom 15¢+7
KXGOVCA-26◆ FAIRLY PRICEDKL35.9M

California Governor winner?

Xavier Becerra 60¢Tom Steyer 25¢Steve Hilton 10¢+7
KXCITRINI-28JUL01▲ UNDERPRICEDKL25.8M

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

YES 26¢ (26%)NO 74¢ (74%)
KXMAYORLA-26▼ OVERPRICEDKL21.2M

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Karen Bass 67¢Spencer Pratt 26¢Nithya Raman 7¢+7
KXSENATETXR-26◆ FAIRLY PRICEDKL15M

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Ken Paxton 96¢John Cornyn 4¢
CONTROLH-2026◆ FAIRLY PRICEDKL13.4M

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Par 76¢Republican Par 23¢
KXTRUMPOUT27-27◆ FAIRLY PRICEDKL8.8M

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 36¢Before 2028 23¢Before 2027 9¢+1
CONTROLS-2026◆ FAIRLY PRICEDKL4.9M

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Republican Par 53¢Democratic Par 46¢