Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Price history — Republican Party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
53¢
46¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.9M contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-02-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republican Party
at 53¢
Price gap
Kalshi53¢
→OU's fair65¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Moderate
Republicans currently hold a 53-45 majority in the Senate and the 2026 map features several vulnerable Democratic incumbents in competitive states.
Wide edge+12¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.