OVER / UNDER
Economics

Economics

KXLAYOFFSYINFO-26-494000 UNDERPRICEDKL31.4M

More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?

YES 89¢ (89%)NO 11¢ (11%)
KXFEDDECISION-26JUN FAIRLY PRICEDKL9.7M

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed maintains 96¢Cut 25bps 2¢Hike 25bps 1¢+2
KXIPOSPACEX FAIRLY PRICEDKL4.6M

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

Before Jan 1, 99¢Before Feb 1, 99¢Before May 1, 99¢+7
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31 FAIRLY PRICEDKL3.9M

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts 65¢Exactly 1 cut 17¢Exactly 2 cuts 7¢+7
KXRECSSNBER-26 OVERPRICEDKL2.2M

Will there be a recession in 2026?

YES 16¢ (16%)NO 84¢ (84%)
KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26MAY FAIRLY PRICEDKL1.9M

CPI year-over-year in May 2026?

Exactly 4.3% 42¢Exactly 4.2% 22¢Exactly 4.4% 18¢+7
KXAAAGASM-26MAY31 FAIRLY PRICEDKL1.5M

Gas prices in the US in May 2026?

Above 4.00 99¢Above 3.90 99¢Above 3.30 99¢+8
KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUN FAIRLY PRICEDKL1M

CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026?

Exactly 4.2% 12¢Exactly 4.3% 11¢Exactly 4.4% 9¢+7
FEDHIKE OVERPRICEDKL964.1K

Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2028 71¢Before July 20 61¢Before 2027 39¢+1
KXFED-26JUN FAIRLY PRICEDKL931.8K

Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

Above 3.25% 99¢Above 3.00% 99¢Above 2.75% 99¢+7