OVER / UNDER
Economics

Economics

KXPAYROLLS-26MAY FAIRLY PRICEDKL193.7K

Jobs numbers in May 2026?

Above -50,000 92¢Above -25,000 89¢Above 0 88¢+7
KXIPOSTARLINK FAIRLY PRICEDKL181.5K

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

Before Jun 30, 12¢Before Apr 1, 8¢Before May 1, 8¢+7
KXGDPUSMAX-28-5 FAIRLY PRICEDKL158.7K

Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?

YES 51¢ (51%)NO 49¢ (49%)
WRECSS-26 FAIRLY PRICEDKL154.1K

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

United Kingdom 46¢Japan 26¢India 7¢+1
KXFEDMEET-27-JAN01 UNDERPRICEDKL136.7K

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting before Jan 1, 2027?

YES 10¢ (10%)NO 90¢ (90%)
KXECONSTATCPIYOY-26JUL FAIRLY PRICEDKL121.1K

CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?

Exactly 3.5% 4¢Exactly 3.9% 4¢Exactly 4.3% 4¢+7
KXNYSECIRCUIT-27 UNDERPRICEDKL119.4K

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen before 2027?

YES 21¢ (21%)NO 79¢ (79%)
KXFED-27APR FAIRLY PRICEDKL115.6K

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Above 1.25% 88¢Above 0.00% 85¢Above 1.00% 83¢+7
KXNYCRENTFREEZE-25 FAIRLY PRICEDKL110.6K

Will NYC implement a rent freeze for leases starting October 2026?

YES 75¢ (75%)NO 25¢ (25%)
CHINAUSGDP-30 OVERPRICEDKL84.9K

Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?

YES 19¢ (19%)NO 81¢ (81%)