Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Price history — Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES51¢ (51%)
NO49¢ (49%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 158.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2029-01-26
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
NO at 49¢ · pays 2.0×
Price gap
Kalshi49¢
→OU's fair88¢
+39¢ underpriced · pays 2.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Professional forecasters and the Bureau of Economic Analysis report 2025 quarterly growth rates well below one percent with annual expectations under two percent through 2026.
Wide edge+39¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.