100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $47.5K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 2¢ · pays 61×
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→OU's fair5¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 61×
Confidence
Moderate
Current trade war measures involve 25 percent tariffs on most goods and 10 percent on energy rather than the 100 percent rate required for a yes resolution.
Off market consensus
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