100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7.5K • Updated 17m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 90¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket90¢
→OU's fair90¢
Confidence
Low
Events of this magnitude occur on average once every few decades and no specific 2026 impact threat has been identified by NASA JPL.
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