Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $60.7K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-06-10 (16d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 98¢ · pays 1.0×
Price gap
Polymarket98¢
→OU's fair98¢
Confidence
Low
Climate models and early 2026 projections suggest the year will rank among the hottest on record but specific monthly rankings for May remain subject to high natural variability.
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