OVER / UNDER
2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ 2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ 2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ 2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ 2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ 2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224 ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Other46¢
Democrats 8-10%17¢
Democrats 10-12%14¢
Democrats 6-8%12¢
Republicans 0-2%9¢
Democrats 12-14%8¢
Democrats 4-6%8¢
Republicans 2-4%7¢
Democrats 2-4%★ BEST6¢
Democrats 0-2%5¢
Democrats 14-16%4¢
Democrats 16%+3¢
Republicans 6%+2¢
Republicans 4-6%2¢
Polymarket • Volume: $44.4K • Updated 25m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats 2-4%
at 6¢
Price gap
Polymarket6¢
→
OU's fair35¢
+29¢ underpriced · pays 17×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling from Economist and YouGov shows Democrats holding their largest lead since the 2024 election as they head into the 2026 midterm cycle.

Wide edge+29¢
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