Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES83¢ (83%)
NO17¢ (17%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $39.2K • Updated 24m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 17¢ · pays 5.9×
Price gap
Polymarket17¢
→OU's fair17¢
Confidence
Low
The KMT traditionally performs strongly in local elections and currently holds the majority of mayoral and magistrate positions across Taiwan's municipalities and counties.
Off market consensus
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