Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES24¢ (24%)
NO76¢ (76%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.2K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-04-23
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 24¢ · pays 4.3×
Price gap
Polymarket24¢
→OU's fair44¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 4.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Marine Le Pen remains the dominant figure of the National Rally and has consistently indicated her intention to run for the presidency in 2027.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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