Will the EU meet its climate goals?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES43¢ (43%)
NO57¢ (57%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 3.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2032-12-31
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES at 43¢ · pays 2.3×
Price gap
Kalshi43¢
→OU's fair45¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 2.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Climate Action Tracker reports the EU is currently not on track to meet its 2030 target of reducing emissions by at least 55 percent despite recent legislative progress.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.