Will a country leave the EU by 2030?
Price history — Will a country leave the EU by 2030?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES13¢ (13%)
NO87¢ (87%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 23.4K contracts • Updated 28m agoCloses: 2030-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 13¢ · pays 7.7×
Price gap
Kalshi13¢
→OU's fair15¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 7.7×
Confidence
Low
No current member state has triggered Article 50 and major political movements for exit have stalled across the bloc since the completion of Brexit.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.