Arizona Governor winner?
Price history — Democratic party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
74¢
26¢
Kalshi • Volume: 337.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic party
at 74¢
Price gap
Kalshi74¢
→OU's fair53¢
−21¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a narrow lead in early polling and has officially launched her reelection campaign for the 2026 cycle.
Wide edge+21¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.