CA-22 House winner?
Price history — Republican party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
63¢
32¢
Kalshi • Volume: 18.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republican party
at 32¢
Price gap
Kalshi32¢
→OU's fair51¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 3.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican David Valadao won the 2024 election by seven percentage points and historically retains this seat despite the district's Democratic lean.
Wide edge+19¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.