CA-03 House winner?
Price history — Republican party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
88¢
9¢
Kalshi • Volume: 17K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republican party
at 9¢
Price gap
Kalshi9¢
→OU's fair29¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Kevin Kiley is described as the heavy favorite for reelection in a district that historically leans toward his party.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.