NY-19 House winner?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
80¢
15¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.3K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic party
at 80¢
Price gap
Kalshi80¢
→OU's fair60¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Josh Riley defeated incumbent Marc Molinaro in the 2024 election and the district remains a highly competitive swing seat that leans slightly Democratic in recent cycles.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.