NY-04 House winner?
Price history — Democratic party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
80¢
22¢
Kalshi • Volume: 5.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic party
at 80¢
Price gap
Kalshi80¢
→OU's fair60¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Democrat Laura Gillen holds the seat in a district that historically leans toward her party and is currently rated as a competitive but favorable environment.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.