WA-03 House winner?
Price history — Democratic party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
76¢
22¢
Kalshi • Volume: 9.3K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic party
at 76¢
Price gap
Kalshi76¢
→OU's fair72¢
−4¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a significant incumbency advantage in a district she flipped in 2022 despite its Republican lean.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.