Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?
Price history — Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES31¢ (31%)
NO69¢ (69%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 1.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Kalshi · Financials
OU's Pick
NO at 69¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Kalshi69¢
→OU's fair95¢
+26¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
High
The current 10Y-2Y spread is 0.41 percent and historical volatility makes a jump to over 1.00 percent unlikely within the remaining 2026 timeframe.
Wide edge+26¢
High conviction
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.