Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
Price history — Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES8¢ (8%)
NO92¢ (92%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 713.8K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-08-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 8¢ · pays 12×
Price gap
Kalshi8¢
→OU's fair15¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 12×
Confidence
Moderate
Multiple court rulings have consistently blocked the implementation of the executive order and the Supreme Court appears likely to rule against the administration.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.