Aberdeen South by-election winner
Price history — SNP
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
64¢
22¢
2¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 25.8K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-06-18
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · SNP
at 64¢
Price gap
Kalshi64¢
→OU's fair49¢
−15¢ overpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate
The SNP won the most seats in the May 2026 Scottish Parliament elections and previously held this seat with a significant lead over other parties.
Wide edge+15¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.