Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Price history — Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 35.1K contracts • Updated 30m agoCloses: 2029-01-20
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 80¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Kalshi80¢
→OU's fair92¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Low
Ongoing regional conflict and the lack of formal diplomatic channels make a normalization agreement highly unlikely within the specified timeframe.
Wide edge+12¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.