How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
66¢
25¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-09-16
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · At least 5
at 66¢
Price gap
Kalshi66¢
→OU's fair20¢
−46¢ overpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate
AIPAC has already reported 35 endorsed candidates winning their primaries by March 2026 and historical trends suggest at least a few losses occur in competitive cycles.
Wide edge+46¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.