OVER / UNDER
KXAISPIKE-26B ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAISPIKE-26B ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAISPIKE-26B ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAISPIKE-26B ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAISPIKE-26B ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAISPIKE-26B ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

AI capability growth before July?

Price history — At least 1525 score

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

12¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
At least 1525 score★ BEST12¢
At least 1550 score4¢
At least 1575 score2¢
At least 1625 score1¢
At least 1700 score1¢
At least 1650 score1¢
At least 1675 score0¢
At least 1600 score0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 170.6K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-07-01
Kalshi · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES · At least 1525 score
at 12¢
Price gap
Kalshi12¢
→
OU's fair13¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 8.3×
Confidence
Low

Recent benchmarks show frontier models like GPT-5 and Claude 4.5 are expected to launch in early 2026 and will likely surpass the 1525 Elo threshold on the LMSYS leaderboard.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.