AI capability growth this year?
Price history — At least 1550 score
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
33¢
11¢
7¢
3¢
1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 44.5K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES · At least 1550 score
at 33¢
Price gap
Kalshi33¢
→OU's fair53¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 3.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Major AI labs are expected to release next-generation frontier models within the 2026 timeframe that will likely surpass current LMSYS leaderboard benchmarks.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.