OVER / UNDER
KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

Price history — Dan Sullivan, ≥12%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

5¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Mary Peltola, 0-3%19¢
Mary Peltola, 3-6%14¢
Dan Sullivan, 0-3%13¢
Dan Sullivan, 3-6%13¢
Dan Sullivan, 6-9%12¢
Mary Peltola, 6-9%11¢
Dan Sullivan, 9-12%10¢
Dan Sullivan, ≥12%★ BEST5¢
Mary Peltola, 9-12%5¢
Mary Peltola, ≥12%3¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.9K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Dan Sullivan, ≥12%
at 5¢
Price gap
Kalshi5¢
→
OU's fair25¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 20×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Dan Sullivan maintains a significant fundraising advantage and historical electoral strength in a state that typically favors Republican candidates by double digits.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.