Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Price history — Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES24¢ (24%)
NO76¢ (76%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 72.1K contracts • Updated 30m agoCloses: 2029-10-15
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 76¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Kalshi76¢
→OU's fair98¢
+22¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Low
Secession requires a complex legal process and a provincial referendum that has not been scheduled or initiated by the current Alberta government.
Wide edge+22¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.