Will a party founded by Elon Musk contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Price history — Will a party founded by Elon Musk contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES15¢ (15%)
NO85¢ (85%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 2.3K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2028-09-08
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 15¢ · pays 6.7×
Price gap
Kalshi15¢
→OU's fair25¢
+10¢ underpriced · pays 6.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Elon Musk announced the formation of the America Party in May 2026 but the logistical hurdles for a new party to contest a presidential election remain significant.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.