Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul: Game Spread
Price history — Tommy Paul -7.5 games
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
70¢
39¢
Kalshi • Volume: 26.2K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-10 (14d)
Kalshi · Sports
OU's Pick
YES · Tommy Paul -7.5 games
at 39¢
Price gap
Kalshi39¢
→OU's fair20¢
−19¢ overpriced · pays 2.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Tommy Paul is the higher ranked player but American men historically struggle on clay and Sonego is a specialist who keeps matches competitive on this surface.
Wide edge+19¢
High volume26k contracts
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.