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Who will win the next Australian House election?

Price history — Australian Labor Party

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

48¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Australian Labor Party★ BEST48¢
Liberal-National Coalition40¢
One Nation1¢
Australian Greens0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 16.2K contracts • Updated 32m agoCloses: 2029-09-30
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Australian Labor Party
at 48¢
Price gap
Kalshi48¢
→
OU's fair48¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent Labor governments in Australia historically maintain a structural advantage in House elections despite fluctuating polling numbers early in the term.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.