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What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

Price history — At least 2000

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

86¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
At least 2000★ BEST86¢
At least 250055¢
At least 300048¢
At least 350039¢
At least 400032¢
At least 500031¢
At least 450026¢
Kalshi • Volume: 52.6K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2029-01-01
Kalshi · Health
OU's Pick
YES · At least 2000
at 86¢
Price gap
Kalshi86¢
→
OU's fair95¢
+9¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
High

The CDC reports 1952 confirmed measles cases as of May 2026 which nearly reaches the 2000 threshold for just the first five months of the year.

High conviction
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.