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2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Price history — D-House, R-Senate

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

31¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
D-House, D-Senate44¢
D-House, R-Senate★ BEST31¢
R-House, R-Senate23¢
R-House, D-Senate2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 5.7M contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-02-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · D-House, R-Senate
at 31¢
Price gap
Kalshi31¢
→
OU's fair31¢
Confidence
Low

Historical midterm trends and current seat distributions suggest a divided government is the most probable outcome for the next Congress.

High volume41k contracts
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.