Will US Supreme Court rule ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
Price history — Will US Supreme Court rule ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES27¢ (27%)
NO73¢ (73%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 13.4K contracts • Updated 3d agoCloses: 2029-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 27¢ · pays 3.7×
Price gap
Kalshi27¢
→OU's fair65¢
+38¢ underpriced · pays 3.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Search results indicate the Supreme Court heard arguments in 2026 and appeared likely to uphold state bans on transgender athletes in school sports.
Wide edge+38¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.