Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5?
Price history — Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES26¢ (26%)
NO74¢ (74%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 5.6K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 74¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Kalshi74¢
→OU's fair95¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent fundraising data shows Republican candidates outraising Democrats in Iowa while the state has trended significantly toward the GOP in recent statewide and federal cycles.
Wide edge+21¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.