Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Price history — Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES66¢ (66%)
NO34¢ (34%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 66K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2030-01-01
Kalshi · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 34¢ · pays 2.9×
Price gap
Kalshi34¢
→OU's fair65¢
+31¢ underpriced · pays 2.9×
Confidence
Moderate
SpaceX has already conducted multiple Starship flight tests while Blue Origin is still developing the New Glenn rocket required to launch its MK1 lander.
Wide edge+31¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.