Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Price history — Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES41¢ (41%)
NO59¢ (59%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 207.7K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-02-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 59¢ · pays 1.7×
Price gap
Kalshi59¢
→OU's fair92¢
+33¢ underpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Republicans currently hold majorities in both chambers and historical midterm trends typically favor the party out of power without reaching such high seat thresholds.
Wide edge+33¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.