Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Price history — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES69¢ (69%)
NO31¢ (31%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 233.8K contracts • Updated 54m agoCloses: 2027-02-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 31¢ · pays 3.2×
Price gap
Kalshi31¢
→OU's fair53¢
+22¢ underpriced · pays 3.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical midterm trends typically favor the party out of power while current reports indicate Republicans maintain a significant majority in the Senate heading into the cycle.
Wide edge+22¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.