Will anyone win outright in the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election?
Price history — Will anyone win outright in the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES15¢ (15%)
NO85¢ (85%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 4.6K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-10-04
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 85¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Kalshi85¢
→OU's fair88¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical Brazilian elections rarely conclude in the first round because the highly fragmented multi-party system makes reaching the fifty percent threshold extremely difficult.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.