Who will run for President of Brazil?
Price history — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
92¢
75¢
71¢
4¢
1¢
1¢
1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 104.5K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-10-04
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
at 75¢
Price gap
Kalshi75¢
→OU's fair92¢
+17¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Lula has publicly confirmed his intention to seek a fourth term in the 2026 election and remains the incumbent leader of his party.
Wide edge+17¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.