Brazil Presidential election winner?
Price history — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
46¢
27¢
11¢
5¢
4¢
3¢
1¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
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Kalshi • Volume: 1.9M contracts • Updated 3d agoCloses: 2027-10-25
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
at 46¢
Price gap
Kalshi46¢
→OU's fair35¢
−11¢ overpriced · pays 2.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent President Lula da Silva is actively campaigning for a fourth term and remains a top contender in recent polling.
High volume51k contracts
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.