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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Price history — Flávio Bolsonaro

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

50¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Flávio Bolsonaro★ BEST50¢
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva10¢
Romeu Zema7¢
Renan Santos6¢
Ronaldo Caiado2¢
Eduardo Bolsonaro0¢
Ratinho Júnior0¢
Aldo Rebelo0¢
Ciro Gomes0¢
Michelle Bolsonaro0¢
Tarcísio de Freitas0¢
Fernando Haddad0¢
Jair Bolsonaro0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 18.6K contracts • Updated 33m agoCloses: 2027-10-04
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Flávio Bolsonaro
at 50¢
Price gap
Kalshi50¢
→
OU's fair40¢
−10¢ overpriced · pays 2.0×
Confidence
Low

Current polling and political dynamics suggest a polarized race between Lula and a Bolsonaro-aligned candidate for the top two spots in the first round.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.