CA-04 primary advancers?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
56¢
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Kalshi • Volume: 34.9K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Eric Jones
at 56¢
Price gap
Kalshi56¢
→OU's fair20¢
−36¢ overpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Mike Thompson is a long-standing representative in a safe Democratic seat and is widely expected to secure one of the top two spots in the June 2 primary.
Wide edge+36¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.