California Governor primary: who will outperform the polls?
Price history — Xavier Becerra
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
98¢
90¢
87¢
4¢
4¢
3¢
3¢
2¢
1¢
1¢
1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 21.3K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-06-10
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Xavier Becerra
at 98¢
Price gap
Kalshi98¢
→OU's fair78¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Xavier Becerra entered the primary with a six point lead in the final Emerson poll and holds the frontrunner status as results begin to roll in.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.