Will the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 be above 20%?
Price history — Will the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 be above 20%?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES23¢ (23%)
NO77¢ (77%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 2.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-02-23
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
NO at 77¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Kalshi77¢
→OU's fair82¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Early 2026 data shows a significant decline in travel but the February drop of 12.5 percent suggests the annual average is unlikely to sustain the 20 percent threshold.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.